Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.021083 0.022646 0.024273 0.026095 0.028081 0.030181 0.032574
2024-10-13 0.018325 0.020552 0.022992 0.025870 0.029184 0.032890 0.037365
2024-10-20 0.016242 0.018804 0.021718 0.025293 0.029583 0.034593 0.040927
2024-10-27 0.015114 0.017962 0.021303 0.025538 0.030803 0.037183 0.045575
2024-11-03 0.014110 0.017139 0.020787 0.025543 0.031636 0.039259 0.049641
2024-11-10 0.013422 0.016626 0.020575 0.025855 0.032808 0.041768 0.054372
2024-11-17 0.012574 0.015838 0.019943 0.025552 0.033118 0.043121 0.057602
2024-11-24 0.011913 0.015238 0.019498 0.025438 0.033633 0.044735 0.061250
2024-12-01 0.011238 0.014574 0.018920 0.025091 0.033779 0.045815 0.064174
2024-12-08 0.010781 0.014169 0.018656 0.025141 0.034458 0.047651 0.068286
2024-12-15 0.010233 0.013610 0.018146 0.024807 0.034551 0.048627 0.071150
2024-12-22 0.009680 0.013013 0.017550 0.024310 0.034364 0.049157 0.073334
2024-12-29 0.009245 0.012565 0.017145 0.024072 0.034553 0.050269 0.076531
2025-01-05 0.008838 0.012138 0.016748 0.023822 0.034701 0.051319 0.079691
2025-01-12 0.008377 0.011612 0.016184 0.023288 0.034375 0.051596 0.081577
2025-01-19 0.008168 0.011440 0.016124 0.023508 0.035227 0.053778 0.086806
2025-01-26 0.007913 0.011189 0.015932 0.023512 0.035728 0.055409 0.091193
2025-02-02 0.007749 0.011064 0.015923 0.023794 0.036687 0.057841 0.097160
2025-02-09 0.007452 0.010727 0.015575 0.023520 0.036709 0.058691 0.100321
2025-02-16 0.007215 0.010472 0.015342 0.023416 0.037007 0.060020 0.104449
2025-02-23 0.006942 0.010149 0.014990 0.023101 0.036925 0.060674 0.107342
2025-03-02 0.006768 0.009975 0.014863 0.023147 0.037459 0.062441 0.112494
2025-03-09 0.006525 0.009682 0.014536 0.022844 0.037368 0.063070 0.115452